California's likely voters appear poised to pass Proposition 64 to legalize recreational marijuana.
The 61.8% who say they will vote yes, in favor of Prop 64 reflects a modest increase since we last tested the issue in February of this year.
Moreover, support appears relatively enthusiastic, with a plurality (44.7%) saying they will definitely vote yes, in favor of the proposition.
Methodology: From Friday, August 5 through Monday, August 8, 2016, Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of likely November, 2016 General Election voters throughout the state of California.
A total of 1,020 voters were called. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.1% with a confidence level of 95%. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and mobile phones (59.4% were completed on mobile phones) and were offered in English and Spanish languages.
Our turnout universe (PDI Universe 16P8) consisted of: [(Voted at least 1 of 6/14 or 11/14), Or (Voted at least 2 of 2/08, 6/08, 11/08, 6/10, 11/10, 6/12 or 11/12), Or (Registered since 11/14), Or (PAV Registered since 6/12 & Voted 11/12)] & to qualify for universe all voters had to have voted on 11/12, in 2014 or 2015, or any Reg. since 11/14. This represents 13,943,992 voters (77.6% turnout) and 8,286,570 households (83.5%)
Our sample was developed from voter files originally compiled by county Registrars of Voters. Likelihood to vote was determined based on past voting behavior. Probolsky Research applies a stratified random sampling methodology to our sample design. In other words, we ensure that the demographic proportions of survey respondents match the demographic composition of the universe being researched.